Statistical Trends in the Incidence of Violent Crimes
22; & p. 18). One factor clearly involved is demographic. According to Crain (1998, 6 April), “the crime rate is down simply because the number of people in the 18-to-34 age group is down” (p. 22). He points out that 60 percent or more of all crimes are committed by men under the age of 34. In 1997, young men 18-24 committed three times as many homicides as did men over that age (Steinberg, 1999, 3 January, p. L 4). The number of younger men is declining because most of the baby boomers’ children are over 25. However, this phenomenon is temporary because their grandchildren are growing up. Wolfe (1998, April) has an interesting theory that “the psychological center of gravity . . . has moved from the young adult years to the middle years” (p. 17). Insofar, however, as this suggests that would be murderers or rapists have become more temperate in their inclinations, the theory is far from demonstrable. Anderson (1994 May) says the code of the streets represents “a cultural adaptation to a profound lack of faith in the police and the judicial system” (p. 82). Stephens points out that crime rates have increased in recent decades in a number of modern industrialized societies with heterogenous populations, not only the United States, more than they have, for example, in more homogenous ones such as Japan suggesting that problems of social control are greater in the former than the latter (p. 24).
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Get Help Now!The economy has performed well in recent years, but rising prosperity may have little to do with the behavior of those who commit violent crimes. The prosperity of the 90s has also been very uneven and has not done much to ease economic and social conditions in inner city ghettos. Blacks, although they are only 12 percent of the population, account for 55.1 percent of arrests for homicide and 38.8 percent of arrests for aggravated assault as well as 44.4 percent of the victims of violent crime.
Even allowing for discriminatory police practices,…
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